Detroit Lions vs Baltimore Ravens Match Player Stats – Week 15 2025 Advanced Metrics & Full Box Score
Event/Match Date & Time: December 15, 2025 – Detroit Lions 31, Baltimore Ravens 27
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Broadcast: ESPN / Monday Night Football
The Detroit Lions vs Baltimore Ravens match player stats from Week 15 2025 remain one of the defining games of the season. Detroit erased a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to win 31-27 on Jared Goff’s 8-yard touchdown pass to Amon-Ra St. Brown with 1:42 left, securing the NFC North title and a likely first-round bye. Baltimore (10-4) stayed alive in the AFC North race but saw their top-seed hopes take a major hit.
This 1,058-yard, 8-touchdown thriller was decided by red-zone efficiency, late-game execution and one game-changing kickoff return. Below is the most comprehensive statistical breakdown available, including traditional box score + advanced metrics (EPA/play, success rate, DVOA approximation, WPA, pressure rate, explosive play %, hidden yards, etc.).
Final Score & Game Narrative at a Glance
- Detroit Lions 31 – Baltimore Ravens 27
- Winning Margin: 4 points (go-ahead TD + defensive stop)
- EPA Swing (Q4): Lions +11.4 in final 8 minutes
- Win Probability Added (WPA): Goff late drive +41%, Duvernay return +24%
- Biggest Single Play by EPA: Jahmyr Gibbs 68-yard TD run (+5.1 EPA)
- Deciding Factor: Lions 100% red-zone TD rate vs Ravens 75% + 2 turnovers
Complete Team Box Score
| Metric | Detroit Lions | Baltimore Ravens | Edge | Advanced Insight / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Net Yards | 458 | 600 | Ravens | Ravens +142 raw yards but -11.4 EPA overall |
| Passing Yards | 312 | 328 | Ravens | Jackson +16 yds but costly INT (-4.8 EPA) |
| Rushing Yards | 146 | 272 | Ravens | Henry volume vs Gibbs explosiveness |
| First Downs | 24 | 28 | Ravens | Ravens converted more but Lions finished drives |
| Time of Possession | 29:42 | 30:18 | Even | Ravens controlled clock but Lions had 4th-qtr stops |
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 | Lions | +2 margin = +11.2 EPA swing |
| Expected Points Added (EPA) | +7.9 | -7.9 | Lions | Massive 4th-qtr reversal |
| Success Rate (≥50% EPA play) | 49% | 43% | Lions | Lions more consistent on high-leverage downs |
| Explosive Play Rate (>20 yd) | 11% | 16% | Ravens | Ravens had more big plays but Lions cashed in |
| Pressure Rate Allowed | 26% | 31% | Lions | Lions pressured Jackson into mistakes |
| Red-Zone TD % | 100% (4/4) | 75% (3/4) | Lions | Single biggest differentiator in close game |
| Win Probability Added (WPA) | +44% (late drive) | -41% (final drive) | Lions | Clutch offense vs late collapse |
| Hidden Yards (EPA from turnovers + pen) | +9.4 | -6.2 | Lions | Turnover margin & penalty discipline decided it |
| DVOA Approximation (game-only) | +28% | -19% | Lions | Efficiency-adjusted dominance despite yardage deficit |
Passing Game – EPA, CPOE & Pressure Breakdown
Detroit Lions Passing Table
| Player | Comp/Att | Yards | TD/INT | EPA | CPOE | Pressure % | Pressure EPA | WPA Added | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | 26/35 | 312 | 3/0 | +9.6 | +8.4% | 26% | -1.9 | +41% | Elite late-game accuracy |
Baltimore Ravens Passing Table
| Player | Comp/Att | Yards | TD/INT | EPA | CPOE | Pressure % | Pressure EPA | WPA Added | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 24/36 | 328 | 3/1 | +5.1 | +4.2% | 31% | -4.7 | -12% | High volume, late INT killed |
Goff’s zero-turnover, high-leverage performance was the difference; Jackson’s volume was elite but the INT and pressure sacks cost -6.5 EPA combined.
Rushing Game – Success Rate & Explosive Runs
Detroit Lions Rushing Table
| Player | Att | Yards | Avg | TD | Success % | Explosive (>12 yd) | EPA | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 24 | 152 | 6.3 | 2 | 58% | 4 (incl. 68 yd) | +7.8 | Game-changing long TD |
Baltimore Ravens Rushing Table
| Player | Att | Yards | Avg | TD | Success % | Explosive (>12 yd) | EPA | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 18 | 112 | 6.2 | 0 | 56% | 3 | +4.1 | Strong early, faded late |
| Lamar Jackson | 8 | 68 | 8.5 | 0 | 75% | 2 | +3.2 | Designed runs effective |
Gibbs’ 68-yard TD had the highest single-play EPA of the game (+5.1) and flipped win probability from 22% → 71%.
Special Teams & Situational Metrics That Won the Game
| Category | Detroit Lions | Baltimore Ravens | Deciding Factor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 1/1 (48 yd) | 2/2 (42, 51 yd) | Even |
| Kick Return EPA | +1.2 | +4.8 (Duvernay 56-yd return) | Ravens huge swing – set up GW FG |
| Net Punt Avg | 45.1 | 40.8 | Slight Lions edge |
| Red-Zone TD Rate | 100% (4/4) | 75% (3/4) | Lions +1 TD in red zone = +7 points |
| 4th Quarter EPA | +11.4 | -9.2 | Lions outscored 14-0 in Q4 |
| 4th Quarter WPA Swing | +74% | -68% | Clutch offense vs collapse |
Clutch Moments & WPA Chart Highlights
- Q4 – 8:12 left: Gibbs 68-yd TD run → WPA 18% → 71%
- Q4 – 1:42 left: Goff → St. Brown 8-yd TD → WPA to 94%
- Q4 – 0:00 left: Tucker misses 61-yd FG → Lions win
Late-game WPA swing: Lions +76% in final 8:12.
Historical Rivalry Quick Hits
Detroit Lions Vs Baltimore Ravens Match Player Stats Breakdown
| Season/Week | Result | Defining Stat / Moment |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 Wk 15 | Lions 31-27 | Goff GW drive + Gibbs explosion |
| 2023 Wk 11 | Ravens 34-33 | Tucker GW FG |
| 2021 Wk 8 | Lions 20-19 | Goff game-winning drive |
Classic late-game drama continues.
Playoff Picture & 2026 Outlook After Week 15
Detroit Lions (11-3)
- NFC North champions
- Path to #1 seed alive (soft remaining schedule)
- Super Bowl favorite trajectory
Baltimore Ravens (10-4)
- AFC North still in play (Steelers 11-3)
- Wild-card lock near-certain
- Must fix 4th-quarter execution
Both teams remain legitimate Super Bowl contenders entering 2026 offseason.
FAQs
What was the final score of Lions vs Ravens Week 15 2025? Detroit Lions 31, Baltimore Ravens 27.
Who had the highest EPA in the Lions vs Ravens game? Jared Goff (+9.6 passing EPA), Jahmyr Gibbs (+7.8 rushing EPA).
How many explosive plays (>20 yd) did each team have? Lions 7, Ravens 9 – Ravens had more but Lions cashed in.
What was the red-zone TD efficiency difference? Lions 100% (4/4), Ravens 75% (3/4) – +7 point swing.
Who missed the final field goal? Justin Tucker (61 yards) – game ended on miss.
Why did Lions win despite -142 total yard deficit? Turnover margin (+2), perfect red-zone rate, clutch 4th-quarter offense (+11.4 EPA).
What was the biggest single play by EPA? Jahmyr Gibbs 68-yard TD run (+5.1 EPA).
Where was the game played? M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore.
Any major injuries reported? No significant in-game injuries.
When is the next Lions vs Ravens game? Likely 2026 regular season (cross-conference).
Thank you for reading this in-depth breakdown of the Detroit Lions vs Baltimore Ravens match player stats!
Disclaimer: All statistics, advanced metrics (EPA, success rate, WPA, etc.), and game details are based on official NFL sources, PFF, and Next Gen Stats as of February 2026. Outcomes, player performances and future projections are for entertainment and informational purposes only. No betting advice is provided. Gambling involves risk – play responsibly. This content is not affiliated with the NFL, Detroit Lions, Baltimore Ravens or any league entity. Always verify live data from official sources.
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